Skip to main content
V-Lab

Msafe Equipments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

2,945.94

increased by 684.06

1 Week

2,521.21

increased by 259.33

1 Month

5,183.15

increased by 2,921.27

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Msafe Equipments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 49 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8028
8.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2509
4.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7352
13.19***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-19.4620
-1.60

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days