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V-Lab

Mezza Qstp LLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

7,312.70

increased by 2,766.03

1 Week

4,955.66

increased by 408.99

1 Month

4,400.76

decreased by 145.91

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mezza Qstp LLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 23, 2023 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3416
9.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1176
3.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7793
11.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2716
-2.64***

Persistence:

0.897

Half-life:

6 days