Skip to main content
V-Lab

Medicamen Biotech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,520.36

decreased by 1,434.04

1 Week

5,380.80

decreased by 573.60

1 Month

5,822.92

decreased by 131.48

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Medicamen Biotech Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2434
1.69*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3116
5.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6724
12.94***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.4145
0.55
γ2-2.7067
-2.56**
γ34.1567
6.84***
γ4-1.4058
-2.96***
γ5-2.1936
-2.77***
γ63.6205
2.90***
γ7-2.7978
-2.60***
γ81.6727
2.63***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days