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V-Lab

Vietnam BDC Construction Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

9,214.63

increased by 8,225.06

1 Week

2,860.98

increased by 1,871.41

1 Month

2,702.12

increased by 1,712.55

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam BDC Construction ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7133
3.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2538
8.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7316
29.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.2150
-0.18
γ20.9284
0.57
γ3-2.0033
-1.71*
γ43.4549
3.03***
γ5-5.1469
-5.79***
γ63.5268
3.81***
γ73.2878
2.52**
γ8-12.2072
-8.74***
γ918.4223
12.37***
γ10-15.8048
-9.19***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days