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Majestic Auto Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

3,917.70

decreased by 262.72

1 Week

4,426.05

increased by 245.63

1 Month

13,933.74

increased by 9,753.32

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Majestic Auto Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1547 trading days (~6.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5744
1.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1863
5.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8133
25.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-3.2095
-0.43
γ211.2330
1.15
γ3-17.7850
-3.13***
γ418.6929
3.43***
γ5-13.9680
-3.63***
γ66.5003
3.97***
γ7-2.1697
-4.81***
γ81.0621
3.49***
γ9-0.4865
-1.73*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1547 days