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Manomay TEX India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

596.50

decreased by 161.42

1 Week

576.51

decreased by 181.41

1 Month

5,963.35

increased by 5,205.43

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Manomay TEX India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5182
3.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2753
7.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6808
15.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8301
-0.32
γ21.3953
0.32
γ3-1.1982
-0.34
γ40.2131
0.05
γ57.8186
1.34
γ6-26.5746
-3.85***
γ735.2383
6.40***
γ8-20.1445
-5.80***
γ93.4511
0.87
γ10-1.0510
-0.16

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days