V-Lab
Lifeway Foods Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
6,558.75
decreased by 524.08
1 Week
6,092.21
decreased by 990.62
1 Month
4,648.02
decreased by 2,434.81
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 251 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0284 | 4.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1404 | 16.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8569 | 101.65*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.1980 | -2.28** |
| γ2 | 0.2163 | 1.70* |
| γ3 | -0.4764 | -3.13*** |
| γ4 | 1.4493 | 5.40*** |
| γ5 | -1.7250 | -5.74*** |
| γ6 | 1.1333 | 4.31*** |
| γ7 | -0.6673 | -3.93*** |
| γ8 | 0.2866 | 1.81* |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
251 days
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