Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Lumi Rental Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,469.08

increased by 1,970.03

1 Week

4,372.02

decreased by 127.03

1 Month

3,867.84

decreased by 631.21

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Lumi Rental Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2023 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0467
11.26***
αARCH0.1934
6.35***
βGARCH0.6734
12.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1018
-1.44

0.867

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0467
11.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1934
6.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6734
12.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1018
-1.44

Persistence:

0.867

Half-life:

5 days