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Kyverna Therapeutics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,112.16

increased by 410.47

1 Week

3,758.45

increased by 56.76

1 Month

4,217.41

increased by 515.72

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Kyverna Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 8, 2024 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9083
4.97***
αARCH0.0974
4.10***
βGARCH0.8831
31.31***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.0624
-4.23***

0.981

Persistence

35d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9083
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0974
4.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8831
31.31***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.0624
-4.23***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

35 days