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Kerjaya Prospek Group Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

4,399.18

decreased by 201.08

1 Week

4,842.20

increased by 241.94

1 Month

6,991.43

increased by 2,391.17

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kerjaya Prospek Group Bhd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 69314 trading days (~275.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5932
0.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2993
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7007
0.01
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-1.1185
-0.04
γ21.4374
0.04
γ3-0.3987
-0.02
γ4-0.3949
-0.04
γ50.7519
0.22
γ60.0087
0.00
γ7-0.6496
-0.14
γ80.5614
0.07

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

69314 days