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V-Lab

Klabin SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

6,118.01

increased by 170.33

1 Week

5,572.61

decreased by 375.07

1 Month

4,077.00

decreased by 1,870.68

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Klabin SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0372
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1170
6.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
35.93***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.2555
-2.99***
γ20.4723
3.83***
γ3-0.2748
-3.94***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days