V-Lab
Kimball Electronics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
5,232.26
decreased by 284.89
1 Week
4,340.63
decreased by 1,176.52
1 Month
4,401.00
decreased by 1,116.15
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2014 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~76 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2048 | 8.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.0843 | 9.28*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9067 | 94.17*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0310 | -3.92*** |
0.991
Persistence76d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2048 | 8.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0843 | 9.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9067 | 94.17*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0310 | -3.92*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
76 days
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