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Kalind Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

15,602.07

increased by 6,991.13

1 Week

9,372.64

increased by 761.70

1 Month

5,312.87

decreased by 3,298.07

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 03:51 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kalind Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 2012 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 59 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4159
3.07***
αARCH0.3948
5.27***
βGARCH0.5936
8.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-14.9158
-2.48**
γ219.4479
2.59***
γ3-5.3061
-1.20
γ43.9744
0.82
γ5-7.6903
-1.86*
γ65.9263
1.46
γ7-4.1338
-0.92
γ88.3469
1.52
γ9-36.6319
-3.02***
γ1098.2419
4.57***

0.988

Persistence

59d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4159
3.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3948
5.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5936
8.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-14.9158
-2.48**
γ219.4479
2.59***
γ3-5.3061
-1.20
γ43.9744
0.82
γ5-7.6903
-1.86*
γ65.9263
1.46
γ7-4.1338
-0.92
γ88.3469
1.52
γ9-36.6319
-3.02***
γ1098.2419
4.57***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days