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Jaya Tiasa Holdings BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,207.49

decreased by 85.43

1 Week

3,492.92

increased by 200.00

1 Month

5,894.90

increased by 2,601.98

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jaya Tiasa Holdings BHD ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2024 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1266
7.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1459
4.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8182
22.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.3654
-1.15

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days