V-Lab
Jaya Tiasa Holdings BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,207.49
decreased by 85.43
1 Week
3,492.92
increased by 200.00
1 Month
5,894.90
increased by 2,601.98
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2024 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1266 | 7.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1459 | 4.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8182 | 22.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.3654 | -1.15 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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