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JPMorgan European Growth & Income plc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,338.25

decreased by 250.88

1 Week

4,771.44

increased by 182.31

1 Month

5,085.33

increased by 496.20

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of JPMorgan European Growth & Income plc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 280 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~280 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9250
2.64***
αARCH0.0637
6.44***
βGARCH0.9338
103.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0372
-3.37***

0.998

Persistence

280d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9250
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0637
6.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9338
103.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0372
-3.37***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

280 days