JD Cables Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026
1 Day
6,331.11
increased by 2,991.39
1 Week
5,195.24
increased by 1,855.52
1 Month
4,429.31
increased by 1,089.59
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7472 | 5.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.3037 | 4.41*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5655 | 5.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0079 | -0.01 |
0.869
Persistence5d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7472 | 5.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3037 | 4.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5655 | 5.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0079 | -0.01 |
Persistence:
0.869
Half-life:
5 days
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