V-Lab
Inter Pharma Public Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
2,226.45
increased by 665.42
1 Week
2,064.56
increased by 503.53
1 Month
3,768.76
increased by 2,207.73
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 5, 2019 to Aug 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 401 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3140 | 3.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2593 | 8.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7390 | 24.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -3.5512 | -0.60 |
| γ2 | 8.8397 | 0.91 |
| γ3 | -7.8006 | -1.25 |
| γ4 | 4.7459 | 1.13 |
| γ5 | -4.2129 | -0.96 |
| γ6 | 3.7000 | 0.74 |
| γ7 | -1.9987 | -0.41 |
| γ8 | -9.3086 | -1.81* |
| γ9 | 40.4070 | 3.96*** |
| γ10 | -71.7150 | -3.11*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
401 days
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