V-Lab
Infinity Natural Rsourcs Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
4,668.89
decreased by 67.42
1 Week
4,465.10
decreased by 271.21
1 Month
4,700.05
decreased by 36.26
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0866 | 7.06*** |
| αARCH | 0.0624 | 2.86*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9219 | 35.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2130 | -2.39** |
0.984
Persistence44d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0866 | 7.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0624 | 2.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9219 | 35.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.2130 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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