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V-Lab

Innovision Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

8,221.42

increased by 160.08

1 Week

7,112.56

decreased by 948.78

1 Month

4,990.24

decreased by 3,071.10

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 04:38 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Innovision Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7397
6.77***
αARCH0.1278
1.59
βGARCH0.6886
3.44***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.7287
-0.23

0.816

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7397
6.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1278
1.59
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6886
3.44***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.7287
-0.23

Persistence:

0.816

Half-life:

3 days