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India Finsec Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

9,912,291.00

decreased by 86,523.00

1 Week

9,763,229.20

decreased by 235,584.80

1 Month

10,104,923.19

increased by 106,109.19

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of India Finsec Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 2013 to Nov 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 34 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4124
1.62
αARCH0.1321
3.84***
βGARCH0.8479
22.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-19.9815
-3.93***
γ235.2702
3.63***
γ3-22.8390
-2.90***
γ45.9219
0.99
γ55.7780
1.09
γ6-7.3311
-1.67*
γ73.1068
0.71
γ83.5040
0.86
γ9-7.0518
-2.31**
γ109.5436
2.48**

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4124
1.62
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1321
3.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8479
22.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-19.9815
-3.93***
γ235.2702
3.63***
γ3-22.8390
-2.90***
γ45.9219
0.99
γ55.7780
1.09
γ6-7.3311
-1.67*
γ73.1068
0.71
γ83.5040
0.86
γ9-7.0518
-2.31**
γ109.5436
2.48**

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days