V-Lab
INNEOVA Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
543,169.70
increased by 171,860.70
1 Week
680,149.22
increased by 308,840.22
1 Month
913,296.25
increased by 541,987.25
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5731 | 6.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4360 | 5.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2553 | 2.48** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 4.0843 | 4.77*** |
| γ2 | -10.5393 | -6.15*** |
Persistence:
0.691
Half-life:
2 days
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