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INNEOVA Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

3,945,972.00

decreased by 883,841.00

1 Week

3,648,944.20

decreased by 1,180,868.80

1 Month

6,350,411.86

increased by 1,520,598.86

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of INNEOVA Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4462
3.97***
αARCH0.3870
5.63***
βGARCH0.5290
7.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.4787
-1.09

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4462
3.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3870
5.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5290
7.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.4787
-1.09

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days