V-Lab
INNEOVA Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
3,945,972.00
decreased by 883,841.00
1 Week
3,648,944.20
decreased by 1,180,868.80
1 Month
6,350,411.86
increased by 1,520,598.86
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4462 | 3.97*** |
| αARCH | 0.3870 | 5.63*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5290 | 7.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4787 | -1.09 |
0.916
Persistence8d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4462 | 3.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3870 | 5.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5290 | 7.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4787 | -1.09 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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