V-Lab
PT Ikapharmindo Putramas TBK Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
6,152.77
increased by 3,595.79
1 Week
3,851.17
increased by 1,294.19
1 Month
5,413.53
increased by 2,856.55
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4053 trading days (~16.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8943 | 7.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3736 | 5.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6263 | 8.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -10.1739 | -0.51 |
| γ2 | 13.5693 | 0.51 |
| γ3 | 0.6953 | 0.04 |
| γ4 | -26.3542 | -1.20 |
| γ5 | 53.3711 | 2.47** |
| γ6 | -53.7439 | -2.73*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4053 days
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