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PT Ikapharmindo Putramas TBK Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,152.77

increased by 3,595.79

1 Week

3,851.17

increased by 1,294.19

1 Month

5,413.53

increased by 2,856.55

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of PT Ikapharmindo Putramas TBK ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4053 trading days (~16.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8943
7.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3736
5.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6263
8.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-10.1739
-0.51
γ213.5693
0.51
γ30.6953
0.04
γ4-26.3542
-1.20
γ553.3711
2.47**
γ6-53.7439
-2.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4053 days