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3I Infotech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

4,058.55

decreased by 338.92

1 Week

4,973.68

increased by 576.21

1 Month

5,768.76

increased by 1,371.29

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of 3I Infotech Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2005 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 231049 trading days (~916.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~231049 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6946
αARCH0.2461
βGARCH0.7539
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ11.2794
γ2-4.1362
γ35.6932
γ4-4.1318
γ51.3580
γ6-0.0591
γ7-0.1630
γ80.4422
γ9-0.1671

1.000

Persistence

231049d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6946
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2461
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7539
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ11.2794
γ2-4.1362
γ35.6932
γ4-4.1318
γ51.3580
γ6-0.0591
γ7-0.1630
γ80.4422
γ9-0.1671

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

231049 days