V-Lab
Idaho Strtegic Resources Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,953.31
decreased by 212.77
1 Week
5,001.65
increased by 835.57
1 Month
5,191.87
increased by 1,025.79
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.4433 | 2.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2044 | 7.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7731 | 29.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.1637 | 0.52 |
| γ2 | 0.2877 | 0.62 |
| γ3 | -0.6211 | -1.90* |
| γ4 | 0.0616 | 0.20 |
| γ5 | 0.0169 | 0.06 |
| γ6 | 0.4546 | 1.25 |
| γ7 | -2.9200 | -3.02*** |
| γ8 | 6.3283 | 3.22*** |
| γ9 | -5.4276 | -2.88*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
30 days
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