V-Lab
ID Logistics Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
5,716.80
increased by 36.46
1 Week
5,432.71
decreased by 247.63
1 Month
6,048.88
increased by 368.54
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 17, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3175 | 5.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0513 | 7.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9417 | 122.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0138 | -2.54** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
98 days
Other ID Logistics Group Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities