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Hyster-Yale Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

6,142.97

decreased by 101.92

1 Week

5,956.06

decreased by 288.83

1 Month

6,131.54

decreased by 113.35

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hyster-Yale Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2012 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 59 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2539
10.39***
αARCH0.0742
9.01***
βGARCH0.9142
93.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0121
-2.94***

0.988

Persistence

59d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2539
10.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0742
9.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9142
93.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0121
-2.94***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days