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Humana Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

6,682.36

increased by 2,682.80

1 Week

4,104.15

increased by 104.59

1 Month

2,950.57

decreased by 1,048.99

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Humana Ab ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2016 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 61 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7733
6.08***
αARCH0.1267
9.91***
βGARCH0.8620
71.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0010
-0.09

0.989

Persistence

61d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7733
6.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1267
9.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8620
71.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0010
-0.09

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days