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Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11,543.42

decreased by 2,048.07

1 Week

14,280.87

increased by 689.38

1 Month

12,672.70

decreased by 918.79

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9915
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1454
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8307
30.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3689
-6.44***
γ20.4819
5.35***
γ3-0.1019
-1.62
γ40.0038
0.07
γ5-0.0507
-0.65

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days