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Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

6,695.32

decreased by 116.18

1 Week

7,754.56

increased by 943.06

1 Month

11,462.63

increased by 4,651.13

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9790
2.25**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1475
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8273
30.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3705
-6.51***
γ20.4841
5.43***
γ3-0.1051
-1.69*
γ40.0147
0.29
γ5-0.0873
-1.25

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days