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Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

13,034.15

decreased by 1,277.90

1 Week

12,377.09

decreased by 1,934.96

1 Month

10,636.26

decreased by 3,675.79

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust PLC/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9804
2.22**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1473
4.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8281
30.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3729
-6.44***
γ20.4863
5.36***
γ3-0.1038
-1.64
γ40.0118
0.22
γ5-0.0765
-1.07

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days