V-Lab
Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
2,155.33
decreased by 159.29
1 Week
2,266.23
decreased by 48.39
1 Month
2,608.56
increased by 293.94
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8924 | 9.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0845 | 10.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8995 | 82.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0044 | -2.48** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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