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Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

3,238.99

increased by 9.92

1 Week

3,194.36

decreased by 34.71

1 Month

2,829.41

decreased by 399.66

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Far East Income Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9195
9.95***
αARCH0.0843
10.24***
βGARCH0.8992
81.89***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0039
-2.32**

0.983

Persistence

42d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9195
9.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0843
10.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8992
81.89***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0039
-2.32**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

42 days