V-Lab
Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
3,243.71
decreased by 176.10
1 Week
3,281.69
decreased by 138.12
1 Month
3,773.68
increased by 353.87
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9289 | 9.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 10.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8994 | 81.63*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0037 | -2.13** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
42 days
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