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Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

4,214.36

increased by 2.62

1 Week

4,075.84

decreased by 135.90

1 Month

3,942.52

decreased by 269.22

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Far East Income Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9379
10.05***
αARCH0.0845
10.27***
βGARCH0.8987
81.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0037
-2.22**

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9379
10.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0845
10.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8987
81.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0037
-2.22**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days