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Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

2,790.39

decreased by 140.66

1 Week

3,014.61

increased by 83.56

1 Month

3,510.86

increased by 579.81

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Henderson Far East Income Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9259
10.01***
αARCH0.0844
10.27***
βGARCH0.8989
81.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0039
-2.35**

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9259
10.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0844
10.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8989
81.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0039
-2.35**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days