Henderson Far East Income Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
2,790.39
decreased by 140.66
1 Week
3,014.61
increased by 83.56
1 Month
3,510.86
increased by 579.81
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.9259 | 10.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.0844 | 10.27*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8989 | 81.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0039 | -2.35** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9259 | 10.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0844 | 10.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8989 | 81.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0039 | -2.35** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
Other Henderson Far East Income Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds