V-Lab
Henderson Far East Income Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
2,266.26
1 Week
2,444.65
1 Month
2,737.73
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1068 | 0.53 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7975 | 15.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1068 | -0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.7237 | 0.87 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1235 | 7.28*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8751 | 3.75*** |
Persistence:
0.851
Half-life:
4 days
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