V-Lab
Henderson Far East Income Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
3,320.67
1 Week
3,313.88
1 Month
3,819.08
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 0.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7968 | 15.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1066 | -0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1193 | 6.96*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8793 | 4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.850
Half-life:
4 days
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