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Heng Leasing And Capital Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

11,206.21

increased by 6,498.70

1 Week

6,274.89

increased by 1,567.38

1 Month

4,415.28

decreased by 292.23

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Heng Leasing And Capital ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4329
3.30***
αARCH0.2005
8.53***
βGARCH0.7807
30.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1049
-1.81*

0.981

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4329
3.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2005
8.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7807
30.29***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1049
-1.81*

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days