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V-Lab

Hcl Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3.05

increased by 0.44

1 Week

2.89

increased by 0.28

1 Month

3.75

increased by 1.14

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:45 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hcl Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 30, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 15068 trading days (~59.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2727
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2092
0.09
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7907
0.33
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-5.1751
-0.09
γ28.2826
0.09
γ3-1.0690
-0.04
γ4-7.7530
-0.17
γ511.2972
0.16
γ6-7.9936
-0.15
γ72.6237
0.15
γ8-0.5085
-0.57
γ90.6557
1.06
γ10-0.6591
-0.76

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

15068 days