V-Lab
Gujjubhai Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
13,309.36
decreased by 457.77
1 Week
12,958.81
decreased by 808.32
1 Month
16,811.03
increased by 3,043.90
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 20, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 738 trading days (~2.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7253 | 6.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3603 | 9.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6388 | 16.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -2.7195 | -3.00*** |
| γ2 | 7.4838 | 4.33*** |
| γ3 | -13.8218 | -6.29*** |
| γ4 | 19.0147 | 6.61*** |
| γ5 | -14.6199 | -6.34*** |
| γ6 | 6.3211 | 5.45*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
738 days
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