V-Lab
GSM Foils Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
6,875.39
increased by 452.51
1 Week
3,485.21
decreased by 2,937.67
1 Month
1,920.56
decreased by 4,502.32
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5830 | 6.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1511 | 4.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7986 | 13.56*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.9964 | -3.31*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
Other GSM Foils Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities