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V-Lab

Gemini Space Station Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,827.99

increased by 306.50

1 Week

4,692.93

increased by 171.44

1 Month

5,630.31

increased by 1,108.82

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Gemini Space Station Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7936
6.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0598
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8421
7.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.7792
-4.43***

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days