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Ghani Chemworld Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

4,471.13

decreased by 803.81

1 Week

5,409.77

increased by 134.83

1 Month

5,321.33

increased by 46.39

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ghani Chemworld Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7690
4.07***
αARCH0.2960
5.08***
βGARCH0.6204
11.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ13.0575
4.07***

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7690
4.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2960
5.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6204
11.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ13.0575
4.07***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days