V-Lab
Gaudium IVF & Women Health Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
19,119.82
increased by 9,064.05
1 Week
11,739.56
increased by 1,683.79
1 Month
4,809.71
decreased by 5,246.06
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 352 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4925 | 6.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.7847 | 8.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2133 | 2.45** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -75.3206 | -1.07 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
352 days
Other Gaudium IVF & Women Health Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities