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V-Lab

Gaudium IVF & Women Health Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

19,119.82

increased by 9,064.05

1 Week

11,739.56

increased by 1,683.79

1 Month

4,809.71

decreased by 5,246.06

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Gaudium IVF & Women Health Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 352 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4925
6.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7847
8.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2133
2.45**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-75.3206
-1.07

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

352 days