V-Lab
Ganesh Infraworld Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
3,857.01
decreased by 892.65
1 Week
4,267.67
decreased by 481.99
1 Month
5,043.38
increased by 293.72
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8839 | 3.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2559 | 3.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2104 | 1.12 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -8.3473 | -2.52** |
| γ2 | 16.1919 | 3.65*** |
| γ3 | -15.3060 | -4.68*** |
Persistence:
0.466
Half-life:
1 days
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