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Primis Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,439.02

increased by 81.65

1 Week

4,545.71

increased by 188.34

1 Month

4,317.30

decreased by 40.07

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Primis Financial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5683
4.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1107
7.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8282
33.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.0859
-4.99***
γ21.3403
4.21***
γ3-0.3983
-1.77*
γ4-0.0467
-0.20
γ50.4987
2.54**
γ6-0.2526
-1.85*
γ7-0.1057
-0.98
γ80.0829
0.77
γ9-0.3935
-2.66***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days