V-Lab
Foods & Inns Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
5,574.91
increased by 15.16
1 Week
6,202.40
increased by 642.65
1 Month
6,394.71
increased by 834.96
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2008 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.9509 | 3.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2558 | 9.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7369 | 31.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 0.5117 | 0.65 |
| γ2 | -1.2774 | -1.24 |
| γ3 | 1.1654 | 2.75*** |
| γ4 | -0.9661 | -2.10** |
| γ5 | 1.2120 | 1.76* |
| γ6 | -0.7198 | -1.14 |
| γ7 | -0.3577 | -0.73 |
| γ8 | 1.7649 | 2.52** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
94 days
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