V-Lab
FB Bancorp Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
3,796.48
decreased by 403.93
1 Week
3,879.85
decreased by 320.56
1 Month
5,002.05
increased by 801.64
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1391 | 6.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.1503 | 4.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8307 | 20.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.3874 | -2.32** |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1391 | 6.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1503 | 4.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8307 | 20.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.3874 | -2.32** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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