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V-Lab

FB Bancorp Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

3,796.48

decreased by 403.93

1 Week

3,879.85

decreased by 320.56

1 Month

5,002.05

increased by 801.64

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of FB Bancorp Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1391
6.94***
αARCH0.1503
4.30***
βGARCH0.8307
20.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3874
-2.32**

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1391
6.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1503
4.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8307
20.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3874
-2.32**

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days