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V-Lab

ESR-REIT Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

3,925.23

increased by 34.23

1 Week

4,174.33

increased by 283.33

1 Month

4,937.79

increased by 1,046.79

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ESR-REIT ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9887
4.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0922
6.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8687
43.47***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.2332
-4.93***
γ20.3774
5.62***
γ3-0.2580
-6.19***
γ40.2036
5.48***
γ5-0.1748
-3.64***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days