BXP Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
189.78
increased by 7.21
1 Week
189.06
increased by 6.49
1 Month
161.46
decreased by 21.11
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 1997 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 245 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~245 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1884 | 7.04*** |
| αARCH | 0.0714 | 14.79*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9258 | 195.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0018 | 1.33 |
0.997
Persistence245d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1884 | 7.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0714 | 14.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9258 | 195.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0018 | 1.33 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
245 days
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