V-Lab
BXP Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
171.26
decreased by 6.68
1 Week
158.80
decreased by 19.14
1 Month
149.80
decreased by 28.14
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 246 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1871 | 7.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0715 | 14.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9257 | 195.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0017 | 1.24 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
246 days
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