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V-Lab

Covivio Hotels SACA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

1,313,887.00

decreased by 165,620.00

1 Week

1,468,012.60

decreased by 11,494.40

1 Month

1,183,025.40

decreased by 296,481.60

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Covivio Hotels SACA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.7541
5.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1672
10.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7758
36.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.2136
-2.23**
γ20.3967
2.58***
γ3-0.1581
-1.62
γ4-0.0372
-0.56
γ50.0457
0.91
γ6-0.0784
-1.36
γ70.1483
1.54

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days