Prologis Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
23.08
decreased by 1.06
1 Week
23.57
decreased by 0.57
1 Month
24.50
increased by 0.36
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 244 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3116 | 6.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0513 | 8.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9459 | 124.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0071 | -1.64 |
| γ2 | 0.0163 | 2.13** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
244 days
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