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Prologis Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

17.31

decreased by 0.74

1 Week

18.76

increased by 0.71

1 Month

18.00

decreased by 0.05

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prologis Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 1997 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 348 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~348 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3447
6.62***
αARCH0.0512
8.43***
βGARCH0.9468
134.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.10

0.998

Persistence

348d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3447
6.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0512
8.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9468
134.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.10

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

348 days