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Prologis Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

17.61

decreased by 0.35

1 Week

18.08

increased by 0.12

1 Month

20.80

increased by 2.84

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prologis Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9932
4.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0528
8.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9472
131.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0052
0.33

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

99021 days