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V-Lab

Altarea SCA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

11,968.00

decreased by 504.06

1 Week

13,626.47

increased by 1,154.41

1 Month

12,369.64

decreased by 102.42

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Altarea SCA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 19, 1991 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9930
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1270
9.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8269
30.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.1390
2.62***
γ2-0.1807
-2.62***
γ30.1155
4.37***
γ4-0.1529
-6.21***

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days