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V-Lab

Altarea SCA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

14,108.88

decreased by 46.90

1 Week

14,842.18

increased by 686.40

1 Month

13,479.27

decreased by 676.51

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Altarea SCA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 19, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9857
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1270
9.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8268
30.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.1379
2.62***
γ2-0.1791
-2.61***
γ30.1145
4.33***
γ4-0.1524
-6.11***

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days