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V-Lab

Vitura SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

111,651,300.00

decreased by 8,328,400.00

1 Week

128,093,060.00

increased by 8,113,360.00

1 Month

137,794,248.89

increased by 17,814,548.89

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vitura SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2071
4.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1150
6.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8044
24.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0319
0.17
γ2-0.2424
-0.81
γ30.7463
3.30***
γ4-1.3148
-6.77***
γ51.4957
6.79***
γ6-1.1478
-4.12***
γ71.0396
2.36**
γ8-1.0001
-1.62
γ90.5295
0.94
γ10-0.4721
-0.92

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days