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V-Lab

Vitura SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

86,879,400.00

decreased by 5,014,460.00

1 Week

96,636,836.00

increased by 4,742,976.00

1 Month

128,846,613.33

increased by 36,952,753.33

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vitura SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2067
4.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1136
6.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8083
25.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0305
0.16
γ2-0.2262
-0.76
γ30.7081
3.15***
γ4-1.2703
-6.62***
γ51.4676
6.80***
γ6-1.1423
-4.21***
γ71.0492
2.44**
γ8-1.0274
-1.67*
γ90.5642
0.98
γ10-0.5156
-0.97

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days