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V-Lab

Vitura SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

157,680,100.00

decreased by 2,949,700.00

1 Week

162,616,440.00

increased by 1,986,640.00

1 Month

158,885,966.67

decreased by 1,743,833.33

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vitura SA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3423 trading days (~13.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0328
0.96
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9773
575.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0206
-0.33
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
1.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9909
164.01***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3423 days