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V-Lab

Vitura SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

150,059,600.00

decreased by 3,304,700.00

1 Week

156,125,440.00

increased by 2,761,140.00

1 Month

165,314,595.24

increased by 11,950,295.24

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vitura SA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3423 trading days (~13.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0328
0.96
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9773
572.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0206
-0.32
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
1.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9909
163.11***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3423 days