Emlak Konut Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
8.46
1 Week
8.52
1 Month
10.03
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1540 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5765 | 4.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0422 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7920 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.709
Half-life:
2 days
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