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Emlak Konut Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
8.79
decreased by 0.75
1 Week
8.27
decreased by 1.27
1 Month
6.98
decreased by 2.56
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 03:47 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2010 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 49 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1231 | 5.63*** |
| αARCH | 0.1542 | 6.26*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8317 | 30.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0171 | -3.83*** |
0.986
Persistence49d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1231 | 5.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1542 | 6.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8317 | 30.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0171 | -3.83*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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