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Emlak Konut Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

13.34

decreased by 1.49

1 Week

13.98

decreased by 0.85

1 Month

9.30

decreased by 5.53

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Emlak Konut Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2010 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 50 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1421
5.63***
αARCH0.1550
6.35***
βGARCH0.8312
31.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0168
-3.74***

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1421
5.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1550
6.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8312
31.22***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0168
-3.74***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days